Monday, November 28, 2011

Concept of Sampling

Concept of Sampling
›Introduction
Statistical analysis – Data Analyzing
Collection of Data
›Census Method
›Sample Method
Universe or population
Sample
Average and variance of sample = Sample statistic
Such values of population is parameters (µ , б)

Census Method
›Information collected from each and every unit of population
›Also called as Complete Enumeration Method
›Merits
›Reliable and accurate data
›Extensive Information
›Suitability
›Demerits
›More expensive
›More time consuming
›More labor required
›Not suitable for Specific Problem

›Sampling Method
›Data is collected from the sample of items selected from population
›Merits
›Saving time and money
›Intensive study
›Organizational Convenience
›More reliable results
›More scientific
›Demerits
›Less accurate
›Wrong conclusion
›Less reliable
›Not suitable
›Difference between Census and Sampling
Census
›All Items
›Expensive time ,money and labor
›Investigation with limited field
›Heterogeneous
›Each and every unit

Sampling
›Few items
›Economical
›Investigation with large field
›Homogenous
›Few unit

›Sampling Method
›Probability Sampling Method
›Simple random sampling
›Lottery method
›Tables of random numbers
›Merits
›Free from personal bias
›Equal chance of being selected
›Save time , labor and money
›Demerits
›Sample size is small , then sample is not adequately
›Universe small , not suitable
›Stratified Random sampling
›Heterogeneous
›Different strata acc to characteristics
›Merits
›More likelihood of representation of unit
›Comparative study
›More accuracy
›Demerits
›Limited scope
›Possibility of prejudice


›Systematic random sampling
›Systematically arranged and numbered
›Sample unit , equal interval
›Merits
›Simple method
›Little time
›Demerits
›Each unit doesn’t stand equal chance

›Multistage Random sampling
›Many stages
›Merits
›Regional basis
›Decision on the basis of sample alone
›Demerits
›Lot of time and labor
›Cluster Sampling
›Applied in pharmaceutical industry

›Non - Probability Sampling Method
›Judgment sampling
›Merits
›Less expensive
›Simple and easy
›Demerits
›Greater chance of prejudice
›Not very accurate and reliable
›Quota Sampling
›Merits
›Greater chance important unit being included
›Inquiry is more organized
›Convenience Sampling
›Extensive sampling
›Merits of Sampling
›Less time
›Less cost
›More reliable
›Mors detailed information
›Demerits
›Inaccurate and misleading
›Absence of qualified staff
›Sampling and Non Sampling Errors
›Error = Difference between Sample static and Population parameter
›Sampling errors = error arising due to drawing interferences about the population on the basis of few observation
›Two types of error
›Sampling error
›Non sampling error
›Errors may be occur in the collection , processing and analyzing of data
›Sampling Errors
›Biased errors
›Unbiased errors
›Faulty selection of the sampling method
›Faulty demarcation(Boundaries) of sampling unit
›Variability of the population which has different characteristic
›Bias in analysis

›Method of reducing Sampling errors
›Sample size – larger – less error

›Non Sampling Errors
›Faulty planning
›Faulty selection of the sample unit
›Lack of trained and experienced staff
›Errors in compilation
›Errors due to wrong statistical measures
›Framing of a wrong questionnaire
›Incomplete investigation of the sample survey

›Principle of Sampling
›Principle of Statistical Regularity
›According to king this law states that a moderately large number of items chosen at random from a large group are almost sure on the average possess the characteristic of large group
›Principle of Inertia of Large number
›Corollary of the principle of Statistical regularity
›Larger the size of the sample , more accurate result likely to be.
›Estimation of parameters
›Statistical inference is the estimation of population parameters from the corresponding sample static
›Statistical estimation
›It is the procedure of using a sample statistic to estimate a population parameter.
›Statistic used to estimate a parameter is called estimator
›Value taken by the estimator is called an estimate
›SE can be divided in two
›Point estimation and interval estimation
›Estimation of parameters
›Properties of good estimator
›Unbiasedness
›Average of the sample values = population parameter
›Estimator is unbiased = expected value of estimator = population
›Consistency
›Sample size increases and decrease in error
›Efficiency
›Variance of estimator is small , the distribution of estimator will be better in that its value is closer to Parameter value

›Sufficiency
›Sir R.A. Fisher
›A sufficient estimator is one that uses all information about the population parameter contained in the sample
›Test of Hypothesis
›It is an assumption about the population parameter to be tested based on sample information
›Hypothesis testing for making decision
›In attempting to reach decision , it is useful to make assumptions or guesses about the populations involved. Such assumption , which mat or may not be true are called statistical hypothesis
›Test of Hypothesis
›Procedure of hypothesis testing
›Set up the hypothesis
›Null hypothesis denoted by H0
› Alternate hypothesis by H1
›Set up the suitable significance level
› Determination of a suitable test statistic
›Test statistic = sample statistic – hypothesized PP
› Standard error of SS
›Determine the critical region
›Doing computation
›Making decision

›Type 1 and type 11 errors
›The hypothesis is true but our test rejects it
›The hypothesis is false but our test Accepts it
›The hypothesis is true but our test accepts it
›The hypothesis is false but our test rejects it

›One tailed and two-tailed test
›One tailed and two-tailed test
›Central limit theorem
›It is widely used in the field of estimation and inference. This states that if we select random sample of large size n from any population with mean and SD and compute the mean of each sample , then sampling distribution of mean approaches normal distribution with mean and SD б/√n. This is true even if population itself is not normal.

Monday, October 17, 2011

Statistical Quality Control


Introduction

  • Growing competition
  • Watch over quality
  • Mass production unable to check the quality at each and every level
  • SQC refers to use of statistical techniques in controlling the quality of manufacturing goods

Definition

  • SQC should be viewed as a kit of tools which may influence decision to the function of specification , production or inspection
  • An economic and effective system of maintaining and improving the quality of outputs throughout the whole operating process of specif. , prod. & insp. Based on continuous testing with random samples

Characteristic

  • Control quality standard
  • Exercise during production process
  • Determine the variation
  • Statistical charts

Advantages

  • Quality under control or not
  • Eliminate assignable causes
  • Lower inspection cost
  • Protect interest of consumer
  • Healthy influence on the psychology of workers
  • Earn the goodwill
  • Guide for new plant

Causes & Methods


Causes of variation

  • Assignable causes
  • Chance causes

Methods of SQC

  • Process control
  • Product control

Acceptance Sampling


Acceptance sampling is concerned with the decision to accept a mass of non – conforming the quality. The decision is reached through sampling


Risks


How to conduct Acceptance sampling or Types of sampling Inspection Plan

  1. Single Sampling Plan
  2. Double Sampling Plan
  3. Multiple Sampling Plan

Operating Characteristic Curve (OC Curve)


  • Graphic measure of assessing the ability of sampling plan in distinguishing between good and bad items
  • Depicts the relationship between the probability of acceptance the lot for different lot quality expressed in terms of percentage defectives

Control Charts

  • +3Sigma Upper Control Limit
  • Central Control Limit
  • -3Sigma Lower Control Limit


Purpose & uses of control charts

  • Determining the quality standards
  • Detecting assignable & Chance Variation
  • Reveals variation from desired level
  • Necessary steps for correction
  • simple to construct & easy to interpret
  • Less inspection cost

Types of control charts

  • On the basis of Variables
  1. Mean Chart
  2. Range Chart
  3. SD Chart
  • On the Basis of Attributes
  1. p Chart (Fraction Chart)
  2. np Chart (No of defects)
  3. C Chart (No of defects per unit)